Who Bears Rising Commercial Property Insurance Costs?
with
Prateek Mahajan
and
Zirui Wang
Supported by grants from
Real Estate Research Institute
and
Brookings Institution.
Using novel property-level operating statements for multifamily
properties, we document a large, widespread rise in insurance
costs and study who bears them along three margins. Across
locations, costs rise most where disaster risk, reinsurance
exposure, and homeowners-insurance regulatory frictions are
greatest. Between tenants and owners, rent increases initially
passed nearly all the cost to tenants, but this response has
weakened sharply; larger, more recent shocks are associated with
lower profitability and transaction prices. Across owners,
larger and lower-portfolio-risk owners obtain favorable insurance
pricing, and high-risk assets increasingly move toward them.
Repricing therefore shapes cash flows, asset values, and ownership
patterns.
Selected presentations: American Economic
Association Annual Meeting; Chicago Fed Conference (scheduled);
American Risk and Insurance Association Annual Meeting; Harvard
Climate and Insurance Gathering; USC Marshall Ph.D. Conference;
Financial Intermediation Research Society Conference; Brookings
Institution; Georgia Tech–Atlanta Fed Household Finance
Conference, Young Scholar Poster; American Finance Association
Annual Meeting, Ph.D. Poster Session; AREUEA–ASSA Conference;
Southern Finance Association Annual Meeting; Boca Finance and Real
Estate Conference; Financial Management Association Annual
Meeting; UT Dallas Fall Finance Conference, Ph.D. Poster Session;
MRS; Deakin University; UT San Antonio, Seminar; Baruch–JFQA
Climate Finance Conference, Ph.D. Poster Session (Best Poster
Award).